As Sky launches Europe’s first 3D channel today it seems like a good time to take a look at the format as a whole. There are a lot of ‘naysayers’ out there who simply dismiss it as just another fad, probably aided by underwhelming 3D cinema experiences and the thought of having to wear special glasses, or ‘face furniture’ as I’ve heard them called, when sitting down for an evening’s TV. However it certainly has the backing of the industry, as one tech blogger eloquently put it, you couldn’t “spit on the CES Convention floor without hitting a 3D HDTV”. 3D was most certainly ‘in’ at the Consumer Electronics Show back in January, a pretty sure fire indicator that the format is headed for wide spread commercial success.
I’m sure Sky will do an excellent job with their channel, although the suggestion in Stephen Fry’s promo video that the glasses should become fashion accessories is probably a step too far! All the major television manufacturers have 3D ready sets on the market and we’ve already seen cinemas and pubs showing sporting events in the format. However 3D is still in its infancy and there are number of factors that have to be taken into account and issues resolved before it becomes a wide spread consumer and commercial success.
The two biggest hurdles are the expense and the actual need for glasses. Until these are resolved it is likely to remain a niche product with limited, all be it creative, advertising routes. Firstly the expense, it takes two cameras for everyone to shoot in 3D (one for each eye) meaning significant investment is needed from the broadcasters themselves. The lenses in the active 3D glasses decode the image to create the 3D effect and as such are not cheap, circ £70-100 each (the passive glasses are far cheaper but don’t provide such an immersive experience). The sets themselves are also prohibitively expensive for your average consumer. However aside from the cost, the need for glasses also presents a number of real world problems. Losing them, breaking them, ease of replacement, scratched lenses and so on.
The industry is working hard to resolve these issues, filming and production will inevitably become more efficient and costs will reduce, 3D HDTV sets will, just like HD ready, tumble in price as take up increases, but the real key to success lies in screen technology, manufacturers and technology companies are in a race to produce viable 3D screens that can be used without any glasses. Intel demoed their technology at CES and whilst there are serious limitations, namely where you can stand/sit in relation to the screen, when stood in the right place the experience is reportedly excellent.
Sky 3D should have a good take up, the fact that all Sky HD boxes are 3D ready will certainly help and those in the market for a high end plasma telly will find it hard not to justify paying a little extra for 3D given the now ubiquitous nature of their HD ready predecessors. In fact it’s essential that Sky 3D has good take-up, people need to rave about it, people need to talk about the vast difference in quality between programming made in 3D and programming converted to 3D because it’s this that will give broadcasters the confidence they need to continue to invest in proper 3D programming which will in turn start to create genuine momentum across the industry as a whole. Increased content should drive the market.
Nevertheless 3D as a format will struggle to break through in the same way as HD until the need for glasses can be removed. Once this happens, and given that a large number of the key TV manufacturers also make mobile phones, laptops and general tech gadgetry, the possibilities are huge. How long before we see the first properly integrated, cross-platform 3D advertising campaign? It may very well depend on the take up and success of Sky 3D…no pressure then!
It’s often said that by the time a technology gains mass relevance it’s no longer cool or interesting, let’s hope then that 3D losses its ‘cool’ factor sooner rather than later because it’s the natural next step in mass visual entertainment.